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The Susceptibility of Landslide Evaluation and Zoning by Statistical Methods

Métodos estadísticos para la evaluación de la susceptibilidad por movimientos en masa

dc.creatorAristizábal-Giraldo, Edier
dc.creatorVasquez Guarin, Mariana
dc.creatorRuíz, Diana
dc.date2019-09-20
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-18T21:12:26Z
dc.date.available2021-03-18T21:12:26Z
dc.identifierhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/1247
dc.identifier10.22430/22565337.1247
dc.identifier.urihttp://test.repositoriodigital.com:8080/handle/123456789/11787
dc.descriptionEvaluating and zoning mass movement landslide is a fundamental tool for land planning. There are different methods that help to establish in a regional scale landslide hazard. The most common methods are bivariate statistics and multivariate statistic, which need a landslide historical inventory. This study takes a place in the North of the Andes in a region of Colombia called Aburrá Valley, for evaluating and zoning landslide susceptibility by two methods, one of them is bivariate statistics called Weights of Evidence which is recommended by the Geological Service of Colombia for rural area, and the second one is a multivariate statistic method, called logistic regression, which is widely used worldwide. Both methods are supported in frequency histogram, Pearson correlation, Discriminant Analysis, and Principal Component Analysis. The accuracy of the landslide susceptibility maps produced from the two models is classified in high, medium and low by ROC analysis. The AUC plot estimation results showed that the susceptibility map using Logistic regression has a training accuracy of 76.5% and a prediction capacity of 77.5%. The Weights of evidence method has the highest training accuracy of 77.8% and a prediction of 77.5%. This result allows to include the methods in territorial planning studies.en-US
dc.descriptionExisten diferentes métodos que permiten establecer a escalas regionales la susceptibilidad a la ocurrencia de movimientos en masa. Entre los métodos más utilizados se encuentran los métodos estadísticos bivariado y multivariado, los cuales exigen un inventario de procesos de remoción en masa. En el presente estudio se evalúa y zonifica la susceptibilidad por movimientos en masa en el norte de los Andes colombianos, región conocida como valle de Aburrá, por dos métodos estadísticos, uno de ellos bivariado, denominado Peso de la Evidencia, y recomendado por el Servicio Geológico Colombiano para estudios de amenaza en suelos rurales; y un segundo método estadístico tipo multivariado, denominado Regresión Logística, de amplio uso a nivel mundial. Para ambos casos, la construcción del modelo de susceptibilidad se realizó soportado en el histograma de frecuencias, correlación de Pearson, Análisis Discriminante y Análisis de Componentes Principales. Para evaluar el desempeño, la capacidad de predicción y los criterios de zonificación en alto, medio y bajo de cada uno de los métodos utilizados se utilizó el análisis ROC. Para la regresión logística se obtuvo un área bajo la curva del 76.8 % para el desempeño y 77.5 % para la capacidad de predicción, mientras que para el Peso de la Evidencia se obtuvo un 77.8% en el desempeño y 77.5% en la predicción, señalando resultados satisfactorios que permiten la incorporación de dichos resultados en los estudios básicos necesarios para la ordenación del territorio.es-ES
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dc.publisherInstituto Tecnológico Metropolitano (ITM)en-US
dc.relationhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/1247/1332
dc.relationhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/1247/1444
dc.relationhttps://revistas.itm.edu.co/index.php/tecnologicas/article/view/1247/1481
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dc.rightsCopyright (c) 2019 TecnoLógicasen-US
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0en-US
dc.sourceTecnoLógicas; Vol. 22 No. 46 (2019); 39-60en-US
dc.sourceTecnoLógicas; Vol. 22 Núm. 46 (2019); 39-60es-ES
dc.source2256-5337
dc.source0123-7799
dc.subjectWeight of Evidenceen-US
dc.subjectlogistic regressionen-US
dc.subjecthazarden-US
dc.subjectmass movementsen-US
dc.subjectValle de Aburrá.en-US
dc.subjectPeso de la evidenciaes-ES
dc.subjectregresión logísticaes-ES
dc.subjectamenazaes-ES
dc.subjectmovimientos en masaes-ES
dc.subjectValle de Aburráes-ES
dc.titleThe Susceptibility of Landslide Evaluation and Zoning by Statistical Methodsen-US
dc.titleMétodos estadísticos para la evaluación de la susceptibilidad por movimientos en masaes-ES
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.typeResearch Papersen-US
dc.typeArtículos de investigaciónes-ES


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